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Oscars 2011: The Fall

Posted by Charles Reece, February 27, 2011 10:47pm | Post a Comment
lenin statue broken lithuania
My predictions.

Leading Actor:
  Colin Firth -- The King's Speech
Cinematography: Wally Pfister -- Inception
Foreign Language Film: In a Better World -- Denmark
Sound Editing: Richard King -- Inception
Supporting Actor: Christian Bale -- The Fighter
Costume Design: Colleen Atwood -- Alice in Wonderland
Makeup: Rick Baker & Dave Elsey -- The Wolfman
Sound Mixing: Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo & Ed Novick -- Inception
Leading Actress: Natalie Portman -- Black Swan
Directing: Tom Hooper -- The King's Speech
Original Score: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross -- The Social Network
Visual Effects: Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley & Peter Bebb -- Inception
Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo -- The Fighter
Documentary Feature: 
Charles Ferguson  -- Inside Job
Original Song: “We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3 -- Randy Newman
Adapted Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin -- The Social Network
Animated Feature: Lee Unkrich -- Toy Story 3
Documentary Short: 
Kirk Simon -- Strangers No More
Animated Short Film: Shaun Tan & Andrew Ruhemann -- The Lost Thing
Original Screenplay: David Seidler -- The King's Speech
Art Direction: Robert Stromberg & Karen O'Hara -- Alice in Wonderland
Film Editing: Angus Wall & Kirk Baxter -- The Social Network
Live Action Short Film: Luke Matheny -- God of Love
Best Picture: The King's Speech

.54 Hit versus .46 Miss

Oscars 2011: My Ironclad Predictions

Posted by Charles Reece, February 23, 2011 11:48pm | Post a Comment
lenin statue

Leading Actor
  • Javier Bardem -- Biutiful (Roadside Attractions)
  • Jeff Bridges -- True Grit (Paramount)
  • Jesse Eisenberg -- The Social Network (Sony Pictures Releasing)
  • Colin Firth -- The King's Speech (The Weinstein Company)
  • James Franco -- 127 Hours (Fox Searchlight)
 
king's speech

He's cute, cuddly, British and speechifying with a speech impediment. Firth's only competition is Spanish-speaking Bardem, who stars in some emotive porn not many voters will have seen, but would've really loved if they had.

Cinematography
  • Matthew Libatique -- Black Swan (Fox Searchlight)
  • Wally Pfister -- Inception (Warner Bros.)
  • Danny Cohen -- The King's Speech (The Weinstein Company)
  • Jeff Cronenweth -- The Social Network (Sony Pictures Releasing)
  • Roger Deakins -- True Grit (Paramount) 
     
king's speech albert wall

With very few exceptions, Best Cinematography goes to period pieces. That suggests two rivals: The King's Speech and True Grit. This is Deakins' ninth nomination, but he's never won. Cohen is a first-timer, but for the kind of film that's always been more respected by the Academy. Based on a cursory search of the web, everyone's predicting anyone but Cohen. The King's Speech is a classically beautiful film, set in the past, and I don't think voters care much if this is Deakins' ninth nod, since repeatedly losing didn't make much of a difference on his eighth. Besides actors and directors, do the voters really pay much attention to how long someone's been shafted? The American Society of Cinematographers gave it to Pfister, but they're not the only ones voting now.